Sleep Weather

La ciencia detrás del pronóstico

Lo que dice la investigación

Aquí aparece cada factor del pronóstico de esta noche con los mayores metaanálisis que encontramos: estudios que combinan los resultados de muchos otros. Donde no existen, lo decimos y mostramos los mayores estudios individuales.

Buscamos en PubMed y en las editoriales, y solo citamos artículos cuyo título, autores, revista y DOI comprobamos. Las cifras proceden de los resúmenes publicados. El nivel de evidencia indica lo sólida que es la relación entre el factor y el sueño.

Los títulos y resultados de los estudios se muestran en inglés, tal como se publicaron.

Evidencia sólidaEvidencia moderadaResultados mixtosEvidencia débilSin evidencia

Noches calurosas

Evidencia moderadaSe usa en el pronóstico

Todavía no hay metaanálisis, pero una revisión sistemática de 36 estudios y datos de dispositivos de cientos de miles de personas coinciden: con noches más calurosas se duerme menos y peor, unos 15–17 minutos menos en noches muy calurosas. La mayoría de las viviendas se pueden calentar pero no enfriar, por eso solo las noches cálidas cuentan en el pronóstico.

No se encontró ningún metaanálisis.

  1. Revisión sistemática36 articles (no pooling: designs too varied)

    Chevance G, Minor K, Vielma C, et al. (2024). A systematic review of ambient heat and sleep in a warming climate. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2024.101915

    Higher outdoor or indoor temperatures are generally linked to worse sleep quality and quantity, more so in the hottest months, regions and vulnerable groups.

  2. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis317,758 users, about 165 million nights

    Lechat B, Toson B, Scott H, et al. (2026). How do we sleep while our beds are burning? High ambient temperatures are associated with substantial sleep loss. Sleep. doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsaf323

    At the 99th vs 50th temperature percentile (27.3 °C vs 12.2 °C), sleep was 15.2–16.9 min shorter; risk of sleeping under 6 h rose by 40–43%.

  3. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis214,445 participants, about 23 million days

    Li A, Luo H, Zhu Y, et al. (2025). Climate warming may undermine sleep duration and quality in repeated-measure study of 23 million records. Nature Communications. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-57781-y

    Each 10 °C rise in daily mean temperature: 20.1% higher odds of insufficient sleep and 9.67 min less total sleep.

  4. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis47,628 adults, more than 7 million sleep records, 68 countries

    Minor K, Bjerre-Nielsen A, Jonasdottir SS, et al. (2022). Rising temperatures erode human sleep globally. One Earth. doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.04.008

    Higher temperatures erode sleep; suboptimal temperatures are projected to cost 50–58 hours of sleep per person per year by 2099.

Día de la semana

Evidencia sólidaSe usa en el pronóstico

Los fines de semana se duerme más tarde y más tiempo: hasta una hora más en adolescentes mayores y de 20 a 35 minutos en adultos, según datos agrupados y 73 millones de noches medidas. Ningún estudio respalda un efecto específico del «domingo por la noche», así que el pronóstico solo premia las noches antes de un día libre.

  1. Metaanálisis79 studies in the meta-analysis (18 on weekday vs weekend)

    Galland BC, Short MA, Terrill P, et al. (2018). Establishing normal values for pediatric nighttime sleep measured by actigraphy: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep. doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsy017

    At ages 15–18, total sleep on weekends or non-school days was 56 min longer; sleep onset about 1 h and wake-up about 2 h later.

  2. Metaanálisis41 surveys

    Gradisar M, Gardner G, Dohnt H (2011). Recent worldwide sleep patterns and problems during adolescence: a review and meta-analysis of age, region, and sleep. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2010.11.008

    Weekend bedtimes were 2+ hours later worldwide, with more total sleep.

  3. Metaanálisis37 studies

    Rodríguez Ferrante G, Lee F, Leone MJ (2024). Effects of school start time and its interaction with the solar clock on adolescents' chronotype and sleep: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2024.101988

    Later school start times were linked to longer weekday sleep, later sleep timing and less social jetlag.

  4. Metaanálisis30 studies, 92,977 data points

    Olds T, Blunden S, Petkov J, Forchino F (2010). The relationships between sex, age, geography and time in bed in adolescents: a meta-analysis of data from 23 countries. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2009.12.002

    Time in bed fell by 14 min per year of age on school days and 7 min on non-school days.

  5. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis116,879 adults, about 73 million nights

    Scott H, Lechat B, Sansom K, et al. (2025). Variations in sleep duration and timing: weekday and seasonal variations in sleep are common in an analysis of 73 million nights from an objective sleep tracker. Sleep. doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsaf099

    Sleep was 20–35 min longer on weekends; bedtime 30–40 min and wake-up 60–80 min later.

Cambio de hora

Evidencia débilSe usa en el pronóstico

Ningún metaanálisis ha combinado todavía datos de sueño en torno al cambio de hora. Los grandes estudios con dispositivos coinciden en la propia noche: alrededor de una hora menos de sueño cuando se adelanta en primavera y media hora más cuando se atrasa en otoño, con algo de recuperación en los días siguientes.

No se encontró ningún metaanálisis.

  1. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis11,780 adults

    de Lange MA, Richmond RC, Birnie K, et al. (2025). The effects of daylight saving time clock changes on accelerometer-measured sleep duration in the UK Biobank. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.14335

    Spring: sleep on the clock-change night 65 min shorter (95% CI −72 to −58). Autumn: 33 min longer (27–39).

  2. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis24,250 wearable users, 10,350,760 sleep episodes

    Heacock RM, Capodilupo ER, Czeisler MÉ, et al. (2022). Sleep and Alcohol Use Patterns During Federal Holidays and Daylight Saving Time Transitions in the United States. Frontiers in Physiology. doi.org/10.3389/fphys.2022.884154

    Significant differences in sleep compared with baseline on most clock-change transitions.

  3. Revisión sistemática157 studies, 36 countries (no pooling: data too varied)

    Steponenaite A, Wallraff JP, Wild U, et al. (2026). A systematic review of epidemiological studies into daylight-saving time & health identifying beneficial & adverse effects. European Journal of Epidemiology. doi.org/10.1007/s10654-026-01372-8

    Standard time may be linked to shorter winter sleep; limited studies prevent clear conclusions on other sleep measures.

  4. Revisión sistemática27 studies (no pooling)

    Romigi A, Franco V, Scoditti E, et al. (2025). The effects of daylight saving time and clock time transitions on sleep and sleepiness: a systematic review. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2025.102161

    The switch to DST was linked to worse sleep duration and quality and more sleepiness, especially in evening types; findings were heterogeneous.

Grandes eventos nocturnos

Evidencia débilSe usa en el pronóstico

No hay metaanálisis, pero grandes bases de datos de dispositivos muestran efectos claros en una sola noche: 13–16 minutos menos de sueño tras el voto del Brexit y las elecciones de EE. UU. de 2016, y acostarse una hora y media más tarde en Nochevieja. El pronóstico usa un calendario de esas noches elaborado a mano.

No se encontró ningún metaanálisis.

  1. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis10.5 million sleep records from more than 69,000 app users

    Anýž J, Bakštein E, Dudysová D, et al. (2019). No wink of sleep: Population sleep characteristics in response to the brexit poll and the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Social Science & Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2018.12.024

    Mean sleep fell by 16 min 21 s in the UK after the Brexit vote and by 12 min 49 s in the US after the 2016 election.

  2. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis24,250 wearable users, 10,350,760 sleep episodes

    Heacock RM, Capodilupo ER, Czeisler MÉ, et al. (2022). Sleep and Alcohol Use Patterns During Federal Holidays and Daylight Saving Time Transitions in the United States. Frontiers in Physiology. doi.org/10.3389/fphys.2022.884154

    On New Year’s Eve sleep onset was 88.9 min later, wake time 78.1 min later, and alcohol use 138% more common.

Ramadán

Evidencia moderadaSe usa en el pronóstico

Durante el ramadán, el sueño nocturno es sistemáticamente más corto (unas 0,8 horas en el mayor metaanálisis) y más tardío, con más siestas. Los metaanálisis son pequeños y se centran sobre todo en hombres jóvenes y deportistas, así que el efecto en toda la población es menos seguro. El pronóstico lo aplica en países de mayoría musulmana.

  1. Metaanálisis24 studies; 646 participants; 12 countries

    Faris MAE, Jahrami HA, Alhayki FA, et al. (2020). Effect of diurnal fasting on sleep during Ramadan: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep and Breathing. doi.org/10.1007/s11325-019-01986-1

    Total sleep time fell from 7.2 h to 6.4 h (Hedges’ g −0.43); daytime sleepiness changed negligibly.

  2. Metaanálisis18 papers; 298 participants

    Trabelsi K, Ammar A, Glenn JM, et al. (2022). Does observance of Ramadan affect sleep in athletes and physically active individuals? A systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.13503

    Sleep duration decreased (g −0.766); sleep quality score worsened from 4.05 to 5.35; daytime naps got longer.

  3. Metaanálisis13 articles

    Trabelsi K, Bragazzi N, Zlitni S, et al. (2020). Observing Ramadan and sleep-wake patterns in athletes: a systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression. British Journal of Sports Medicine. doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2018-099898

    Total sleep time decreased (effect size −0.97); daytime sleepiness unchanged.

  4. Metaanálisis14 studies

    El-Jaziz A, Lotfi S (2025). Sleep Patterns Among Athletes and Non-Athletes During Ramadan intermittent fasting: Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression. Annali di Igiene. doi.org/10.7416/ai.2025.2675

    Sleep duration and efficiency were negatively affected; latency and disturbance were not.

  5. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis24,541 adults in 27 countries

    Khan MAB, BaHammam AS, Amanatullah A, et al. (2023). Examination of sleep in relation to dietary and lifestyle behaviors during Ramadan: A multi-national study using structural equation modeling among 24,500 adults amid COVID-19. Frontiers in Nutrition. doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2023.1040355

    Sleeping 7–9 h during Ramadan was associated with physical activity and plant protein intake; smoking with worse sleep.

Contaminación del aire

Evidencia moderadaSe usa en el pronóstico

Metaanálisis con más de cuatro millones de personas hallan que más partículas finas (PM2,5) y NO2 se asocian con un 6–30 % más de probabilidad de dormir mal por cada 10 µg/m³, y con apnea del sueño más grave. Casi todo se refiere a la exposición a largo plazo, así que el pronóstico da poco peso a las noches contaminadas.

  1. Metaanálisis11 studies; 3,328,183 participants

    Cao Z, Shi X, Sun L, et al. (2025). Association between exposure to air pollution and risk of Dyssomnia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health. doi.org/10.1007/s00420-025-02137-8

    Odds of sleep problems per 10 µg/m³: PM2.5 1.29, PM10 1.13, NO2 1.06, O3 1.16; SO2 not significant.

  2. Metaanálisis25 studies; at least 1,262,210 adults

    Wang M, Cho Y, Li J (2025). Air pollution and sleep health in middle-aged and older adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2025.102136

    Long-term exposure, per 10 µg/m³: PM2.5 OR 1.27, PM1 1.37, PM10 1.10; NO2 (per 5 µg/m³) 1.07; ozone not significant.

  3. Metaanálisis20 studies (13 pooled)

    He Y, Wang S, Zhang T, et al. (2026). Does short- and long-term exposure to air pollution affect the risk of obstructive sleep apnea? A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2025.102225

    Per 10 µg/m³ PM2.5, the apnea-hypopnea index rose 2.25% short-term and 13.33% long-term (high certainty).

  4. Metaanálisis10 studies

    Zhao Y, Zhang S, Guo L, et al. (2024). Association between Air Pollutants and the Risk of Sleep Disorders: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Aerosol and Air Quality Research. doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230197

    Per 10 µg/m³: PM2.5 OR 2.50 (an outlier compared with other meta-analyses), PM10 1.15, NO2 1.36.

  5. Metaanálisis12 studies (4 pooled)

    Alrahbeni T, Gupta JK, Alkhouri A, et al. (2024). Association of air pollution with risk and severity of obstructive sleep apnea: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Neurotoxicology. doi.org/10.1016/j.neuro.2024.04.005

    No significant link with sleep apnea risk (PM2.5 OR 0.987, NO2 1.095), though several studies linked pollution to greater severity.

Polen y alergia

Evidencia moderadaSe usa en el pronóstico

Las personas con alergia al polen refieren de forma constante peor sueño, más insomnio, ronquidos y somnolencia diurna, en datos de millones de personas; tratar la nariz mejora el sueño en los ensayos. Los estudios tratan de la alergia y no de los recuentos diarios de polen, así que el pronóstico solo señala los días de polen alto.

  1. Metaanálisis27 articles; 240,706,026 patients (19,444,043 with allergic rhinitis)

    Liu J, Zhang X, Zhao Y, et al. (2020). The association between allergic rhinitis and sleep: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. PLoS One. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0228533

    Worse sleep quality, more sleep medication and lower sleep efficiency; associated with insomnia, snoring, sleep apnea and daytime sleepiness. Sleep duration did not differ. Certainty low to very low.

  2. Metaanálisis49 studies; 18,269,265 individuals

    Safia A, Elhadi UA, Karam M, et al. (2024). A meta-analysis of the prevalence and risk of mental health problems in allergic rhinitis patients. Journal of Psychosomatic Research. doi.org/10.1016/j.jpsychores.2024.111813

    Among patients: poor sleep quality 48%, insomnia 36%, sleep under 7 h 59%; higher risk of insomnia and sleep impairment than controls.

  3. Metaanálisis17 studies; 32,907 children

    Li Q, Zhong Q, Kong X, et al. (2026). Allergic rhinitis in children in relation to sleep breathing disorders: a meta-analysis. International Journal of Pediatric Otorhinolaryngology. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijporl.2026.112902

    Allergic rhinitis OR 2.24 in habitual snorers, 1.49 in sleep-disordered breathing, 1.23 in sleep apnea.

  4. Metaanálisis12 studies; 19,203 participants

    Ferreira NB, Ponte A, Grande AC, et al. (2025). Frequency of obstructive sleep apnea in patients with asthma or allergic rhinitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2025.106705

    Sleep apnea more frequent with allergic rhinitis (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.1–5.3).

  5. Metaanálisis44 studies; 6,086 participants

    Cao Y, Wu S, Zhang L, et al. (2018). Association of allergic rhinitis with obstructive sleep apnea: A meta-analysis. Medicine (Baltimore). doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000013783

    Children with sleep-disordered breathing had 2.12 times higher odds of allergic rhinitis.

Ruido nocturno

Evidencia sólidaSe usa en el pronóstico

El ruido nocturno del tráfico es uno de los factores de sueño más estudiados: la probabilidad de sentirse muy perturbado se duplica aproximadamente por cada 10 dB más, y los registros de laboratorio confirman más despertares. Para tormentas, viento fuerte y fuegos artificiales no hay estudios específicos, así que el pronóstico les da poco peso.

  1. Metaanálisis74 studies

    Basner M, McGuire S (2018). WHO Environmental Noise Guidelines for the European Region: A Systematic Review on Environmental Noise and Effects on Sleep. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15030519

    Self-reported sleep disturbance per 10 dB night noise (when the question named noise): OR 1.94 aircraft, 2.13 road, 3.06 rail; awakenings per 10 dBA indoor peak: OR 1.35–1.36.

  2. Metaanálisis68 observational studies, 152 effect sizes

    Li Z (2026). Environmental Noise Exposure and the Risk of Sleep Disturbance: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Noise & Health. doi.org/10.4103/nah.nah_222_25

    Correlation with sleep disturbance: aircraft r = 0.26, railway r = 0.21, road r = 0.15 (high certainty; very high heterogeneity).

  3. Metaanálisis36 studies, about 173,000 responses

    Smith MG, Cordoza M, Basner M (2022). Environmental Noise and Effects on Sleep: An Update to the WHO Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Environmental Health Perspectives. doi.org/10.1289/EHP10197

    Odds of being highly sleep disturbed per 10 dB night noise: aircraft 2.18, road 2.52, railway 2.97.

  4. Metaanálisis15 articles

    Godono A, Ciocan C, Clari M, et al. (2023). Association between exposure to wind turbines and sleep disorders: A systematic review and meta-analysis. International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijheh.2023.114273

    Sleep disorders in 34% of people living near wind turbines, falling with distance; evidence quality poor.

  5. Metaanálisis9 studies reviewed, 5 meta-analysed

    Liebich T, Lack L, Hansen K, et al. (2021). A systematic review and meta-analysis of wind turbine noise effects on sleep using validated objective and subjective sleep assessments. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.13228

    No significant effect on objectively measured sleep (e.g. sleep efficiency g = −0.25, not significant).

Humedad

Evidencia débilSe usa en el pronóstico

No hay evidencia combinada sobre la humedad. Grandes bases de datos sugieren que el aire muy seco y el muy húmedo se asocian con un sueño más corto o más interrumpido, y la humedad agrava el calor porque el sudor enfría menos. Por eso el pronóstico solo cuenta el bochorno en noches cálidas, con poco peso.

No se encontró ningún metaanálisis.

  1. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis47,628 adults, 68 countries

    Minor K, Bjerre-Nielsen A, Jonasdottir SS, et al. (2022). Rising temperatures erode human sleep globally. One Earth. doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.04.008

    Humidity results are not stated in the abstract; a later review describes both low and high humidity as reducing sleep duration in this dataset.

  2. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis8,611 sleep-clinic patients (mostly with sleep apnea)

    Tung NT, Lee YL, Liu WT, et al. (2025). Impact of PM2.5, relative humidity, and temperature on sleep quality: a cross-sectional study in Taipei. Annals of Medicine. doi.org/10.1080/07853890.2024.2448733

    Higher relative humidity was associated with changes in non-REM sleep stages and more arousals in all seasons.

Luna llena

Resultados mixtosSe usa en el pronóstico

No hay metaanálisis sobre la luna y el sueño. Algunos pequeños estudios de laboratorio hallaron un sueño algo más ligero o corto en luna llena, pero las mayores bases de datos no encuentran efecto o solo unos 5 minutos, y se ha documentado sesgo de publicación. El pronóstico muestra la luna pero casi no la tiene en cuenta.

No se encontró ningún metaanálisis.

  1. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis5,812 children, 12 countries, 33,710 accelerometer days

    Chaput JP, Weippert M, LeBlanc AG, et al. (2016). Are Children Like Werewolves? Full Moon and Its Association with Sleep and Activity Behaviors in an International Sample of Children. Frontiers in Pediatrics. doi.org/10.3389/fped.2016.00024

    Sleep was about 5 min shorter at full moon than at new moon; no other differences.

  2. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis2,125 adults with home polysomnography

    Haba-Rubio J, Marques-Vidal P, Tobback N, et al. (2015). Bad sleep? Don't blame the moon! A population-based study. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2015.08.002

    No significant differences between lunar phases in subjective or objective sleep.

  3. Estudio grande, no metaanálisisPooled reanalysis of sleep-lab datasets (no abstract)

    Cordi M, Ackermann S, Bes FW, et al. (2014). Lunar cycle effects on sleep and the file drawer problem. Current Biology. doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2014.05.017

    No statistically relevant link between sleep and lunar phase; publication bias may explain earlier positive findings.

  4. Estudio grande, no metaanálisisSmall laboratory sample (not stated in abstract)

    Cajochen C, Altanay-Ekici S, Münch M, et al. (2013). Evidence that the lunar cycle influences human sleep. Current Biology. doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2013.06.029

    Around full moon, deep-sleep EEG activity was 30% lower and total sleep 20 min shorter. The most-cited positive study.

Estrés colectivo

Evidencia moderadaNo se usa en el pronóstico

Durante la pandemia de COVID-19, entre una quinta parte y dos quintas partes de la población tuvieron problemas de sueño según metaanálisis de hasta medio millón de personas, y los confinamientos lo empeoraron. Tras terremotos y guerras, grandes estudios muestran aumentos claros y en general temporales del insomnio. Aún no tenemos una señal diaria fiable del estrés informativo, así que aparece aquí pero no se usa en el pronóstico.

  1. Metaanálisis250 studies; 493,475 participants; 49 countries

    Jahrami HA, Alhaj OA, Humood AM, et al. (2022). Sleep disturbances during the COVID-19 pandemic: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2022.101591

    Global prevalence of sleep disturbances 40.49%; general population 36.73%; higher during lockdown (42.49% vs 37.97%).

  2. Metaanálisis177 papers; 345,270 participants; 39 countries

    Alimoradi Z, Broström A, Tsang HWH, et al. (2021). Sleep problems during COVID-19 pandemic and its' association to psychological distress: A systematic review and meta-analysis. EClinicalMedicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100916

    Sleep problems in 18% of the general population, 31% of healthcare workers and 57% of COVID-19 patients.

  3. Metaanálisis154 studies

    Ceolin C, Limongi F, Siviero P, et al. (2024). Changes in Sleep Duration and Sleep Timing in the General Population from before to during the First COVID-19 Lockdown: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21050583

    Sleep duration rose slightly during lockdown (SMD 0.25); sleep timing was moderately delayed and napping increased.

  4. Metaanálisis139 studies

    Scarpelli S, Zagaria A, Ratti PL, et al. (2022). Subjective sleep alterations in healthy subjects worldwide during COVID-19 pandemic: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2022.07.012

    Pooled PSQI 6.73 (in the poor-sleep range); pooled insomnia severity 8.44 (subthreshold).

  5. Metaanálisis66 studies; 42,956 participants

    Carpinelli LP, Gauer LE, Soares VHD, et al. (2026). Insomnia and poor sleep quality in refugee and asylum-seeking populations: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS ONE. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0352964

    Sleep problems in 43.2% of adults and 36.4% of children; pooled insomnia severity 13.76.

  6. Estudio grande, no metaanálisisNationwide random samples of about 1,250 people per wave

    Itoh Y, Takeshima M, Kaneita Y, et al. (2022). Associations Between the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami and the Sleep and Mental Health of Japanese People: A 3-Wave Repeated Survey. Nature and Science of Sleep. doi.org/10.2147/nss.s338095

    Insomnia rose from 11.7% to 21.2% four months after the disaster and returned to 10.6% at 18 months.

  7. Estudio grande, no metaanálisisNational survey N = 6,474 plus three further samples

    Zak U, Choshen-Hillel S, Hochner H, et al. (2025). Tired of war: Changes in the sleep of the Israeli civilian population in the wake of the Israel-Hamas war. International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijchp.2025.100596

    Short sleep (under 6 h) up 19–22%, clinical insomnia up 16–19%; most effects persisted at 6 months.

Luz del día y estación

Resultados mixtosNo se usa en el pronóstico

Se duerme algo más en los meses oscuros y menos cuando los días son largos, y más luz por la tarde (por ejemplo en el borde oeste de un huso horario) se asocia con dormir menos. Los efectos son pequeños, unos 10–20 minutos, y los pocos metaanálisis no coinciden, así que el pronóstico aún no lo usa.

  1. Metaanálisis18 studies, 986 participants

    Shao Y, Li Y, Wang N, et al. (2024). Effect of daily light exposure on sleep in polar regions: A meta-analysis. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.14144

    Intense summer light reduced sleep time and efficiency; moderate spring/autumn light delayed sleep.

  2. Metaanálisis17 studies (11 on season), 1,951 adults

    Ferguson T, Curtis R, Fraysse F, et al. (2021). Annual, seasonal, cultural and vacation patterns in sleep, sedentary behaviour and physical activity: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health. doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11298-3

    Sleep was highest in autumn (+12 min above the yearly mean), but not statistically significant.

  3. MetaanálisisNot stated in abstract

    Weaver RG, Hensing C, Armstrong B, Adams EL, Beets M (2022). Seasonal Shifts in Children's Sedentary Behaviors, Physical Activity, and Sleep: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Pediatric Clinics of North America. doi.org/10.1016/j.pcl.2022.04.005

    The authors note a paucity of data on seasonal variation in sleep.

  4. Metaanálisis53 studies, 1,154 participants

    van Maanen A, Meijer AM, van der Heijden KB, Oort FJ (2016). The effects of light therapy on sleep problems: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2015.08.009

    Light therapy improved sleep problems overall (g = 0.39) and insomnia (g = 0.47). Indirect evidence: light as treatment.

  5. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis416,731 adults

    DelRosso LM, Vodapally M (2026). Seasonal and geographic variation in sleep duration among U.S. adults: Evidence from the 2022 BRFSS. Chronobiology International. doi.org/10.1080/07420528.2025.2611866

    Monthly variation was modest (7.82 h in April to 8.13 h in January); latitude and time-zone differences were small.

  6. Estudio grande, no metaanálisisUS time zone border comparison

    Giuntella O, Mazzonna F (2019). Sunset time and the economic effects of social jetlag: evidence from US time zone borders. Journal of Health Economics. doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2019.03.007

    One extra hour of evening natural light reduced sleep by 19 min on average.

Frentes y presión atmosférica

Sin evidenciaNo se usa en el pronóstico

Mucha gente dice que los frentes afectan a su sueño, pero ningún metaanálisis ha estudiado la presión y el sueño, y los pocos estudios directos son pequeños y contradictorios. La presión se asocia un poco con la migraña, pero no de forma constante con el dolor. El pronóstico muestra los cambios grandes de presión para que tus votos pongan a prueba la idea, sin afectar a la puntuación.

  1. Metaanálisis31 studies (about migraine, not sleep)

    Li S, Liu Q, Ma M, et al. (2025). Association between weather conditions and migraine: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Neurology. doi.org/10.1007/s00415-025-13078-0

    Ambient pressure was significantly associated with migraine attacks (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01–1.15).

  2. Metaanálisis11 studies, 15,315 participants (about pain, not sleep)

    Ferreira ML, Hunter DJ, Fu A, et al. (2024). Come rain or shine: Is weather a risk factor for musculoskeletal pain? A systematic review with meta-analysis of case-crossover studies. Seminars in Arthritis and Rheumatism. doi.org/10.1016/j.semarthrit.2024.152392

    No association between air pressure and rheumatoid arthritis, knee or low back pain.

  3. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis7,523 sleep-lab patients

    Cassol CM, Martinez D, da Silva FABS, et al. (2012). Is sleep apnea a winter disease?: meteorologic and sleep laboratory evidence collected over 1 decade. Chest. doi.org/10.1378/chest.11-0493

    Sleep apnea severity correlated inversely with temperature and directly with atmospheric pressure.

  4. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis537 sleep-lab patients

    Doherty MJ, Youn CE, Haltiner AM, et al. (2010). Do weather-related ambient atmospheric-pressure changes influence sleep disordered breathing?. Journal of Clinical Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.5664/jcsm.27764

    Obstructive apnea rose with lower pressure, the opposite direction to the study above.

Clima espacial (tormentas geomagnéticas)

Sin evidenciaNo se usa en el pronóstico

No encontramos ningún estudio que midiera el sueño humano frente a la actividad geomagnética, solo estudios pequeños y antiguos con melatonina (una hormona del sueño) más baja durante perturbaciones geomagnéticas. El pronóstico muestra el índice Kp como curiosidad, pero no afecta a la puntuación.

No se encontró ningún metaanálisis.

  1. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis153 utility workers (melatonin measured, not sleep)

    Burch JB, Reif JS, Yost MG (2008). Geomagnetic activity and human melatonin metabolite excretion. Neuroscience Letters. doi.org/10.1016/j.neulet.2008.04.031

    Higher geomagnetic activity was associated with lower nocturnal melatonin-metabolite levels.

  2. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis132 utility workers (melatonin measured, not sleep)

    Burch JB, Reif JS, Yost MG (1999). Geomagnetic disturbances are associated with reduced nocturnal excretion of a melatonin metabolite in humans. Neuroscience Letters. doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3940(99)00308-0

    Overnight melatonin-metabolite excretion was lower on geomagnetically disturbed days.

  3. Estudio grande, no metaanálisis25 healthy subjects (melatonin measured, not sleep)

    Weydahl A, Sothern RB, Cornélissen G, et al. (2001). Geomagnetic activity influences the melatonin secretion at latitude 70 degrees N. Biomedicine & Pharmacotherapy. doi.org/10.1016/s0753-3322(01)90006-x

    Large geomagnetic changes significantly decreased salivary melatonin.

Fuentes comprobadas el 9 de octubre de 2026. ¿Has encontrado un error o un estudio más reciente? Cuéntanoslo en el formulario de la página principal.

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