Sleep Weather

La scienza dietro la previsione

Cosa dice la ricerca

Qui trovi ogni fattore della previsione di stanotte con le meta-analisi più ampie che abbiamo trovato: studi che riuniscono i risultati di molti altri. Dove non esistono, lo diciamo e mostriamo i singoli studi più grandi.

Abbiamo cercato su PubMed e presso gli editori, e citiamo solo articoli di cui abbiamo verificato titolo, autori, rivista e DOI. I numeri provengono dagli abstract pubblicati. Il livello di evidenza indica quanto è solido il legame tra il fattore e il sonno.

Titoli e risultati degli studi sono riportati in inglese, come pubblicati.

Evidenza forteEvidenza moderataRisultati contrastantiEvidenza deboleNessuna evidenza

Notti calde

Evidenza moderataUsato nella previsione

Non c’è ancora una meta-analisi, ma una revisione sistematica di 36 studi e i dati dei dispositivi di centinaia di migliaia di persone concordano: nelle notti più calde si dorme meno e peggio, circa 15–17 minuti in meno nelle notti molto calde. La maggior parte delle case si può riscaldare ma non raffreddare, perciò nella previsione contano solo le notti calde.

Nessuna meta-analisi trovata.

  1. Revisione sistematica36 articles (no pooling: designs too varied)

    Chevance G, Minor K, Vielma C, et al. (2024). A systematic review of ambient heat and sleep in a warming climate. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2024.101915

    Higher outdoor or indoor temperatures are generally linked to worse sleep quality and quantity, more so in the hottest months, regions and vulnerable groups.

  2. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi317,758 users, about 165 million nights

    Lechat B, Toson B, Scott H, et al. (2026). How do we sleep while our beds are burning? High ambient temperatures are associated with substantial sleep loss. Sleep. doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsaf323

    At the 99th vs 50th temperature percentile (27.3 °C vs 12.2 °C), sleep was 15.2–16.9 min shorter; risk of sleeping under 6 h rose by 40–43%.

  3. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi214,445 participants, about 23 million days

    Li A, Luo H, Zhu Y, et al. (2025). Climate warming may undermine sleep duration and quality in repeated-measure study of 23 million records. Nature Communications. doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-57781-y

    Each 10 °C rise in daily mean temperature: 20.1% higher odds of insufficient sleep and 9.67 min less total sleep.

  4. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi47,628 adults, more than 7 million sleep records, 68 countries

    Minor K, Bjerre-Nielsen A, Jonasdottir SS, et al. (2022). Rising temperatures erode human sleep globally. One Earth. doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.04.008

    Higher temperatures erode sleep; suboptimal temperatures are projected to cost 50–58 hours of sleep per person per year by 2099.

Giorno della settimana

Evidenza forteUsato nella previsione

Nel fine settimana si dorme più tardi e più a lungo: fino a un’ora in più negli adolescenti più grandi e 20–35 minuti negli adulti, secondo dati aggregati e 73 milioni di notti misurate. Nessuno studio conferma un effetto specifico della «domenica sera», quindi la previsione premia solo le notti prima di un giorno libero.

  1. Meta-analisi79 studies in the meta-analysis (18 on weekday vs weekend)

    Galland BC, Short MA, Terrill P, et al. (2018). Establishing normal values for pediatric nighttime sleep measured by actigraphy: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep. doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsy017

    At ages 15–18, total sleep on weekends or non-school days was 56 min longer; sleep onset about 1 h and wake-up about 2 h later.

  2. Meta-analisi41 surveys

    Gradisar M, Gardner G, Dohnt H (2011). Recent worldwide sleep patterns and problems during adolescence: a review and meta-analysis of age, region, and sleep. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2010.11.008

    Weekend bedtimes were 2+ hours later worldwide, with more total sleep.

  3. Meta-analisi37 studies

    Rodríguez Ferrante G, Lee F, Leone MJ (2024). Effects of school start time and its interaction with the solar clock on adolescents' chronotype and sleep: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2024.101988

    Later school start times were linked to longer weekday sleep, later sleep timing and less social jetlag.

  4. Meta-analisi30 studies, 92,977 data points

    Olds T, Blunden S, Petkov J, Forchino F (2010). The relationships between sex, age, geography and time in bed in adolescents: a meta-analysis of data from 23 countries. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2009.12.002

    Time in bed fell by 14 min per year of age on school days and 7 min on non-school days.

  5. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi116,879 adults, about 73 million nights

    Scott H, Lechat B, Sansom K, et al. (2025). Variations in sleep duration and timing: weekday and seasonal variations in sleep are common in an analysis of 73 million nights from an objective sleep tracker. Sleep. doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsaf099

    Sleep was 20–35 min longer on weekends; bedtime 30–40 min and wake-up 60–80 min later.

Cambio dell’ora

Evidenza deboleUsato nella previsione

Nessuna meta-analisi ha ancora riunito i dati sul sonno attorno al cambio dell’ora. I grandi studi con dispositivi concordano sulla notte stessa: circa un’ora di sonno in meno in primavera e mezz’ora in più in autunno, con un parziale recupero nei giorni successivi.

Nessuna meta-analisi trovata.

  1. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi11,780 adults

    de Lange MA, Richmond RC, Birnie K, et al. (2025). The effects of daylight saving time clock changes on accelerometer-measured sleep duration in the UK Biobank. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.14335

    Spring: sleep on the clock-change night 65 min shorter (95% CI −72 to −58). Autumn: 33 min longer (27–39).

  2. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi24,250 wearable users, 10,350,760 sleep episodes

    Heacock RM, Capodilupo ER, Czeisler MÉ, et al. (2022). Sleep and Alcohol Use Patterns During Federal Holidays and Daylight Saving Time Transitions in the United States. Frontiers in Physiology. doi.org/10.3389/fphys.2022.884154

    Significant differences in sleep compared with baseline on most clock-change transitions.

  3. Revisione sistematica157 studies, 36 countries (no pooling: data too varied)

    Steponenaite A, Wallraff JP, Wild U, et al. (2026). A systematic review of epidemiological studies into daylight-saving time & health identifying beneficial & adverse effects. European Journal of Epidemiology. doi.org/10.1007/s10654-026-01372-8

    Standard time may be linked to shorter winter sleep; limited studies prevent clear conclusions on other sleep measures.

  4. Revisione sistematica27 studies (no pooling)

    Romigi A, Franco V, Scoditti E, et al. (2025). The effects of daylight saving time and clock time transitions on sleep and sleepiness: a systematic review. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2025.102161

    The switch to DST was linked to worse sleep duration and quality and more sleepiness, especially in evening types; findings were heterogeneous.

Grandi eventi notturni

Evidenza deboleUsato nella previsione

Non esistono meta-analisi, ma grandi dataset di dispositivi mostrano effetti chiari su una notte: 13–16 minuti di sonno in meno dopo il voto sulla Brexit e le elezioni USA del 2016, e un’ora e mezza di ritardo nell’andare a letto a Capodanno. La previsione usa un calendario di queste notti compilato a mano.

Nessuna meta-analisi trovata.

  1. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi10.5 million sleep records from more than 69,000 app users

    Anýž J, Bakštein E, Dudysová D, et al. (2019). No wink of sleep: Population sleep characteristics in response to the brexit poll and the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Social Science & Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2018.12.024

    Mean sleep fell by 16 min 21 s in the UK after the Brexit vote and by 12 min 49 s in the US after the 2016 election.

  2. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi24,250 wearable users, 10,350,760 sleep episodes

    Heacock RM, Capodilupo ER, Czeisler MÉ, et al. (2022). Sleep and Alcohol Use Patterns During Federal Holidays and Daylight Saving Time Transitions in the United States. Frontiers in Physiology. doi.org/10.3389/fphys.2022.884154

    On New Year’s Eve sleep onset was 88.9 min later, wake time 78.1 min later, and alcohol use 138% more common.

Ramadan

Evidenza moderataUsato nella previsione

Durante il ramadan il sonno notturno è costantemente più breve (di circa 0,8 ore nella meta-analisi più ampia) e più tardivo, con più sonnellini diurni. Le meta-analisi sono piccole e riguardano soprattutto giovani uomini e atleti, quindi l’effetto sull’intera popolazione è meno certo. La previsione lo applica nei paesi a maggioranza musulmana.

  1. Meta-analisi24 studies; 646 participants; 12 countries

    Faris MAE, Jahrami HA, Alhayki FA, et al. (2020). Effect of diurnal fasting on sleep during Ramadan: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep and Breathing. doi.org/10.1007/s11325-019-01986-1

    Total sleep time fell from 7.2 h to 6.4 h (Hedges’ g −0.43); daytime sleepiness changed negligibly.

  2. Meta-analisi18 papers; 298 participants

    Trabelsi K, Ammar A, Glenn JM, et al. (2022). Does observance of Ramadan affect sleep in athletes and physically active individuals? A systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.13503

    Sleep duration decreased (g −0.766); sleep quality score worsened from 4.05 to 5.35; daytime naps got longer.

  3. Meta-analisi13 articles

    Trabelsi K, Bragazzi N, Zlitni S, et al. (2020). Observing Ramadan and sleep-wake patterns in athletes: a systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression. British Journal of Sports Medicine. doi.org/10.1136/bjsports-2018-099898

    Total sleep time decreased (effect size −0.97); daytime sleepiness unchanged.

  4. Meta-analisi14 studies

    El-Jaziz A, Lotfi S (2025). Sleep Patterns Among Athletes and Non-Athletes During Ramadan intermittent fasting: Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression. Annali di Igiene. doi.org/10.7416/ai.2025.2675

    Sleep duration and efficiency were negatively affected; latency and disturbance were not.

  5. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi24,541 adults in 27 countries

    Khan MAB, BaHammam AS, Amanatullah A, et al. (2023). Examination of sleep in relation to dietary and lifestyle behaviors during Ramadan: A multi-national study using structural equation modeling among 24,500 adults amid COVID-19. Frontiers in Nutrition. doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2023.1040355

    Sleeping 7–9 h during Ramadan was associated with physical activity and plant protein intake; smoking with worse sleep.

Inquinamento atmosferico

Evidenza moderataUsato nella previsione

Meta-analisi su oltre quattro milioni di persone mostrano che più particolato fine (PM2,5) e NO2 si associano a probabilità di dormire male più alte del 6–30% circa ogni 10 µg/m³, e ad apnee notturne più gravi. Quasi tutto riguarda l’esposizione a lungo termine, perciò la previsione dà poco peso alle notti inquinate.

  1. Meta-analisi11 studies; 3,328,183 participants

    Cao Z, Shi X, Sun L, et al. (2025). Association between exposure to air pollution and risk of Dyssomnia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health. doi.org/10.1007/s00420-025-02137-8

    Odds of sleep problems per 10 µg/m³: PM2.5 1.29, PM10 1.13, NO2 1.06, O3 1.16; SO2 not significant.

  2. Meta-analisi25 studies; at least 1,262,210 adults

    Wang M, Cho Y, Li J (2025). Air pollution and sleep health in middle-aged and older adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2025.102136

    Long-term exposure, per 10 µg/m³: PM2.5 OR 1.27, PM1 1.37, PM10 1.10; NO2 (per 5 µg/m³) 1.07; ozone not significant.

  3. Meta-analisi20 studies (13 pooled)

    He Y, Wang S, Zhang T, et al. (2026). Does short- and long-term exposure to air pollution affect the risk of obstructive sleep apnea? A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2025.102225

    Per 10 µg/m³ PM2.5, the apnea-hypopnea index rose 2.25% short-term and 13.33% long-term (high certainty).

  4. Meta-analisi10 studies

    Zhao Y, Zhang S, Guo L, et al. (2024). Association between Air Pollutants and the Risk of Sleep Disorders: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Aerosol and Air Quality Research. doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230197

    Per 10 µg/m³: PM2.5 OR 2.50 (an outlier compared with other meta-analyses), PM10 1.15, NO2 1.36.

  5. Meta-analisi12 studies (4 pooled)

    Alrahbeni T, Gupta JK, Alkhouri A, et al. (2024). Association of air pollution with risk and severity of obstructive sleep apnea: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Neurotoxicology. doi.org/10.1016/j.neuro.2024.04.005

    No significant link with sleep apnea risk (PM2.5 OR 0.987, NO2 1.095), though several studies linked pollution to greater severity.

Pollini e raffreddore da fieno

Evidenza moderataUsato nella previsione

Chi soffre di raffreddore da fieno riferisce costantemente un sonno peggiore, più insonnia, russamento e sonnolenza diurna, in dati su milioni di persone; curare il naso migliora il sonno negli studi clinici. Le ricerche riguardano l’allergia, non i conteggi giornalieri dei pollini, quindi la previsione segnala solo i giorni con pollini alti.

  1. Meta-analisi27 articles; 240,706,026 patients (19,444,043 with allergic rhinitis)

    Liu J, Zhang X, Zhao Y, et al. (2020). The association between allergic rhinitis and sleep: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies. PLoS One. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0228533

    Worse sleep quality, more sleep medication and lower sleep efficiency; associated with insomnia, snoring, sleep apnea and daytime sleepiness. Sleep duration did not differ. Certainty low to very low.

  2. Meta-analisi49 studies; 18,269,265 individuals

    Safia A, Elhadi UA, Karam M, et al. (2024). A meta-analysis of the prevalence and risk of mental health problems in allergic rhinitis patients. Journal of Psychosomatic Research. doi.org/10.1016/j.jpsychores.2024.111813

    Among patients: poor sleep quality 48%, insomnia 36%, sleep under 7 h 59%; higher risk of insomnia and sleep impairment than controls.

  3. Meta-analisi17 studies; 32,907 children

    Li Q, Zhong Q, Kong X, et al. (2026). Allergic rhinitis in children in relation to sleep breathing disorders: a meta-analysis. International Journal of Pediatric Otorhinolaryngology. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijporl.2026.112902

    Allergic rhinitis OR 2.24 in habitual snorers, 1.49 in sleep-disordered breathing, 1.23 in sleep apnea.

  4. Meta-analisi12 studies; 19,203 participants

    Ferreira NB, Ponte A, Grande AC, et al. (2025). Frequency of obstructive sleep apnea in patients with asthma or allergic rhinitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2025.106705

    Sleep apnea more frequent with allergic rhinitis (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.1–5.3).

  5. Meta-analisi44 studies; 6,086 participants

    Cao Y, Wu S, Zhang L, et al. (2018). Association of allergic rhinitis with obstructive sleep apnea: A meta-analysis. Medicine (Baltimore). doi.org/10.1097/MD.0000000000013783

    Children with sleep-disordered breathing had 2.12 times higher odds of allergic rhinitis.

Rumore notturno

Evidenza forteUsato nella previsione

Il rumore notturno del traffico è uno dei fattori di sonno più studiati: la probabilità di essere molto disturbati raddoppia circa ogni 10 dB in più, e le registrazioni in laboratorio confermano più risvegli. Per temporali, vento forte e fuochi d’artificio non esistono studi dedicati, quindi la previsione dà loro poco peso.

  1. Meta-analisi74 studies

    Basner M, McGuire S (2018). WHO Environmental Noise Guidelines for the European Region: A Systematic Review on Environmental Noise and Effects on Sleep. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15030519

    Self-reported sleep disturbance per 10 dB night noise (when the question named noise): OR 1.94 aircraft, 2.13 road, 3.06 rail; awakenings per 10 dBA indoor peak: OR 1.35–1.36.

  2. Meta-analisi68 observational studies, 152 effect sizes

    Li Z (2026). Environmental Noise Exposure and the Risk of Sleep Disturbance: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Noise & Health. doi.org/10.4103/nah.nah_222_25

    Correlation with sleep disturbance: aircraft r = 0.26, railway r = 0.21, road r = 0.15 (high certainty; very high heterogeneity).

  3. Meta-analisi36 studies, about 173,000 responses

    Smith MG, Cordoza M, Basner M (2022). Environmental Noise and Effects on Sleep: An Update to the WHO Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Environmental Health Perspectives. doi.org/10.1289/EHP10197

    Odds of being highly sleep disturbed per 10 dB night noise: aircraft 2.18, road 2.52, railway 2.97.

  4. Meta-analisi15 articles

    Godono A, Ciocan C, Clari M, et al. (2023). Association between exposure to wind turbines and sleep disorders: A systematic review and meta-analysis. International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijheh.2023.114273

    Sleep disorders in 34% of people living near wind turbines, falling with distance; evidence quality poor.

  5. Meta-analisi9 studies reviewed, 5 meta-analysed

    Liebich T, Lack L, Hansen K, et al. (2021). A systematic review and meta-analysis of wind turbine noise effects on sleep using validated objective and subjective sleep assessments. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.13228

    No significant effect on objectively measured sleep (e.g. sleep efficiency g = −0.25, not significant).

Umidità

Evidenza deboleUsato nella previsione

Non ci sono prove aggregate sull’umidità. Grandi dataset suggeriscono che aria molto secca e molto umida si associano a un sonno più breve o più frammentato, e l’umidità peggiora il caldo perché il sudore raffredda meno. Quindi la previsione conta l’afa solo nelle notti calde, con poco peso.

Nessuna meta-analisi trovata.

  1. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi47,628 adults, 68 countries

    Minor K, Bjerre-Nielsen A, Jonasdottir SS, et al. (2022). Rising temperatures erode human sleep globally. One Earth. doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2022.04.008

    Humidity results are not stated in the abstract; a later review describes both low and high humidity as reducing sleep duration in this dataset.

  2. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi8,611 sleep-clinic patients (mostly with sleep apnea)

    Tung NT, Lee YL, Liu WT, et al. (2025). Impact of PM2.5, relative humidity, and temperature on sleep quality: a cross-sectional study in Taipei. Annals of Medicine. doi.org/10.1080/07853890.2024.2448733

    Higher relative humidity was associated with changes in non-REM sleep stages and more arousals in all seasons.

Luna piena

Risultati contrastantiUsato nella previsione

Non esiste una meta-analisi su luna e sonno. Alcuni piccoli studi di laboratorio hanno trovato un sonno un po’ più leggero o breve vicino alla luna piena, ma i dataset più grandi non trovano alcun effetto o circa 5 minuti, e i ricercatori hanno documentato un bias di pubblicazione. La previsione mostra la luna ma le dà un peso quasi nullo.

Nessuna meta-analisi trovata.

  1. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi5,812 children, 12 countries, 33,710 accelerometer days

    Chaput JP, Weippert M, LeBlanc AG, et al. (2016). Are Children Like Werewolves? Full Moon and Its Association with Sleep and Activity Behaviors in an International Sample of Children. Frontiers in Pediatrics. doi.org/10.3389/fped.2016.00024

    Sleep was about 5 min shorter at full moon than at new moon; no other differences.

  2. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi2,125 adults with home polysomnography

    Haba-Rubio J, Marques-Vidal P, Tobback N, et al. (2015). Bad sleep? Don't blame the moon! A population-based study. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2015.08.002

    No significant differences between lunar phases in subjective or objective sleep.

  3. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisiPooled reanalysis of sleep-lab datasets (no abstract)

    Cordi M, Ackermann S, Bes FW, et al. (2014). Lunar cycle effects on sleep and the file drawer problem. Current Biology. doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2014.05.017

    No statistically relevant link between sleep and lunar phase; publication bias may explain earlier positive findings.

  4. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisiSmall laboratory sample (not stated in abstract)

    Cajochen C, Altanay-Ekici S, Münch M, et al. (2013). Evidence that the lunar cycle influences human sleep. Current Biology. doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2013.06.029

    Around full moon, deep-sleep EEG activity was 30% lower and total sleep 20 min shorter. The most-cited positive study.

Stress collettivo

Evidenza moderataNon usato nella previsione

Durante la pandemia di COVID-19, da un quinto a due quinti della popolazione ha avuto problemi di sonno secondo meta-analisi su fino a mezzo milione di persone, e i lockdown hanno peggiorato le cose. Dopo terremoti e guerre, grandi studi mostrano aumenti netti e per lo più temporanei dell’insonnia. Non abbiamo ancora un segnale quotidiano affidabile dello stress da notizie, quindi è riportato qui ma non usato nella previsione.

  1. Meta-analisi250 studies; 493,475 participants; 49 countries

    Jahrami HA, Alhaj OA, Humood AM, et al. (2022). Sleep disturbances during the COVID-19 pandemic: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2022.101591

    Global prevalence of sleep disturbances 40.49%; general population 36.73%; higher during lockdown (42.49% vs 37.97%).

  2. Meta-analisi177 papers; 345,270 participants; 39 countries

    Alimoradi Z, Broström A, Tsang HWH, et al. (2021). Sleep problems during COVID-19 pandemic and its' association to psychological distress: A systematic review and meta-analysis. EClinicalMedicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100916

    Sleep problems in 18% of the general population, 31% of healthcare workers and 57% of COVID-19 patients.

  3. Meta-analisi154 studies

    Ceolin C, Limongi F, Siviero P, et al. (2024). Changes in Sleep Duration and Sleep Timing in the General Population from before to during the First COVID-19 Lockdown: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. doi.org/10.3390/ijerph21050583

    Sleep duration rose slightly during lockdown (SMD 0.25); sleep timing was moderately delayed and napping increased.

  4. Meta-analisi139 studies

    Scarpelli S, Zagaria A, Ratti PL, et al. (2022). Subjective sleep alterations in healthy subjects worldwide during COVID-19 pandemic: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression. Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.1016/j.sleep.2022.07.012

    Pooled PSQI 6.73 (in the poor-sleep range); pooled insomnia severity 8.44 (subthreshold).

  5. Meta-analisi66 studies; 42,956 participants

    Carpinelli LP, Gauer LE, Soares VHD, et al. (2026). Insomnia and poor sleep quality in refugee and asylum-seeking populations: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS ONE. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0352964

    Sleep problems in 43.2% of adults and 36.4% of children; pooled insomnia severity 13.76.

  6. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisiNationwide random samples of about 1,250 people per wave

    Itoh Y, Takeshima M, Kaneita Y, et al. (2022). Associations Between the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami and the Sleep and Mental Health of Japanese People: A 3-Wave Repeated Survey. Nature and Science of Sleep. doi.org/10.2147/nss.s338095

    Insomnia rose from 11.7% to 21.2% four months after the disaster and returned to 10.6% at 18 months.

  7. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisiNational survey N = 6,474 plus three further samples

    Zak U, Choshen-Hillel S, Hochner H, et al. (2025). Tired of war: Changes in the sleep of the Israeli civilian population in the wake of the Israel-Hamas war. International Journal of Clinical and Health Psychology. doi.org/10.1016/j.ijchp.2025.100596

    Short sleep (under 6 h) up 19–22%, clinical insomnia up 16–19%; most effects persisted at 6 months.

Luce del giorno e stagione

Risultati contrastantiNon usato nella previsione

Si dorme un po’ di più nei mesi bui e meno quando le giornate sono lunghe, e più luce serale (ad esempio al margine occidentale di un fuso orario) va con un sonno più breve. Gli effetti sono piccoli, circa 10–20 minuti, e le poche meta-analisi non concordano, quindi la previsione non lo usa ancora.

  1. Meta-analisi18 studies, 986 participants

    Shao Y, Li Y, Wang N, et al. (2024). Effect of daily light exposure on sleep in polar regions: A meta-analysis. Journal of Sleep Research. doi.org/10.1111/jsr.14144

    Intense summer light reduced sleep time and efficiency; moderate spring/autumn light delayed sleep.

  2. Meta-analisi17 studies (11 on season), 1,951 adults

    Ferguson T, Curtis R, Fraysse F, et al. (2021). Annual, seasonal, cultural and vacation patterns in sleep, sedentary behaviour and physical activity: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Public Health. doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11298-3

    Sleep was highest in autumn (+12 min above the yearly mean), but not statistically significant.

  3. Meta-analisiNot stated in abstract

    Weaver RG, Hensing C, Armstrong B, Adams EL, Beets M (2022). Seasonal Shifts in Children's Sedentary Behaviors, Physical Activity, and Sleep: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Pediatric Clinics of North America. doi.org/10.1016/j.pcl.2022.04.005

    The authors note a paucity of data on seasonal variation in sleep.

  4. Meta-analisi53 studies, 1,154 participants

    van Maanen A, Meijer AM, van der Heijden KB, Oort FJ (2016). The effects of light therapy on sleep problems: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Sleep Medicine Reviews. doi.org/10.1016/j.smrv.2015.08.009

    Light therapy improved sleep problems overall (g = 0.39) and insomnia (g = 0.47). Indirect evidence: light as treatment.

  5. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi416,731 adults

    DelRosso LM, Vodapally M (2026). Seasonal and geographic variation in sleep duration among U.S. adults: Evidence from the 2022 BRFSS. Chronobiology International. doi.org/10.1080/07420528.2025.2611866

    Monthly variation was modest (7.82 h in April to 8.13 h in January); latitude and time-zone differences were small.

  6. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisiUS time zone border comparison

    Giuntella O, Mazzonna F (2019). Sunset time and the economic effects of social jetlag: evidence from US time zone borders. Journal of Health Economics. doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2019.03.007

    One extra hour of evening natural light reduced sleep by 19 min on average.

Fronti meteo e pressione

Nessuna evidenzaNon usato nella previsione

Molte persone dicono che i fronti influiscono sul loro sonno, ma nessuna meta-analisi ha studiato pressione e sonno, e i pochi studi diretti sono piccoli e contraddittori. La pressione è un po’ legata all’emicrania, non in modo costante al dolore. La previsione segnala i grandi sbalzi di pressione perché i vostri voti possano mettere alla prova l’idea, senza influire sul punteggio.

  1. Meta-analisi31 studies (about migraine, not sleep)

    Li S, Liu Q, Ma M, et al. (2025). Association between weather conditions and migraine: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Neurology. doi.org/10.1007/s00415-025-13078-0

    Ambient pressure was significantly associated with migraine attacks (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01–1.15).

  2. Meta-analisi11 studies, 15,315 participants (about pain, not sleep)

    Ferreira ML, Hunter DJ, Fu A, et al. (2024). Come rain or shine: Is weather a risk factor for musculoskeletal pain? A systematic review with meta-analysis of case-crossover studies. Seminars in Arthritis and Rheumatism. doi.org/10.1016/j.semarthrit.2024.152392

    No association between air pressure and rheumatoid arthritis, knee or low back pain.

  3. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi7,523 sleep-lab patients

    Cassol CM, Martinez D, da Silva FABS, et al. (2012). Is sleep apnea a winter disease?: meteorologic and sleep laboratory evidence collected over 1 decade. Chest. doi.org/10.1378/chest.11-0493

    Sleep apnea severity correlated inversely with temperature and directly with atmospheric pressure.

  4. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi537 sleep-lab patients

    Doherty MJ, Youn CE, Haltiner AM, et al. (2010). Do weather-related ambient atmospheric-pressure changes influence sleep disordered breathing?. Journal of Clinical Sleep Medicine. doi.org/10.5664/jcsm.27764

    Obstructive apnea rose with lower pressure, the opposite direction to the study above.

Meteo spaziale (tempeste geomagnetiche)

Nessuna evidenzaNon usato nella previsione

Non abbiamo trovato studi che abbiano misurato il sonno umano in rapporto all’attività geomagnetica, solo piccoli studi datati che riportano melatonina (ormone del sonno) più bassa durante le perturbazioni geomagnetiche. La previsione mostra l’indice Kp per curiosità, ma non influisce sul punteggio.

Nessuna meta-analisi trovata.

  1. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi153 utility workers (melatonin measured, not sleep)

    Burch JB, Reif JS, Yost MG (2008). Geomagnetic activity and human melatonin metabolite excretion. Neuroscience Letters. doi.org/10.1016/j.neulet.2008.04.031

    Higher geomagnetic activity was associated with lower nocturnal melatonin-metabolite levels.

  2. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi132 utility workers (melatonin measured, not sleep)

    Burch JB, Reif JS, Yost MG (1999). Geomagnetic disturbances are associated with reduced nocturnal excretion of a melatonin metabolite in humans. Neuroscience Letters. doi.org/10.1016/s0304-3940(99)00308-0

    Overnight melatonin-metabolite excretion was lower on geomagnetically disturbed days.

  3. Studio ampio, non una meta-analisi25 healthy subjects (melatonin measured, not sleep)

    Weydahl A, Sothern RB, Cornélissen G, et al. (2001). Geomagnetic activity influences the melatonin secretion at latitude 70 degrees N. Biomedicine & Pharmacotherapy. doi.org/10.1016/s0753-3322(01)90006-x

    Large geomagnetic changes significantly decreased salivary melatonin.

Fonti verificate il 9 ottobre 2026. Hai trovato un errore o uno studio più recente? Scrivici dal modulo nella pagina principale.

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